ATS FREE MLB Pick for Thursday, June 21, 2012

ff Rays vs. Nats Free picks

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MLB  Rays  vs. Nationals Picks & Predictions for Thursday, June 21,  2012

This is the third game of a three-game Interleague series. These teams split the first two games. Matt Moore takes the mound for the Rays against Gio Gonzalez for the Nats. The opening pitch starts at 7:05pmET from Nationals Park in Washington D.C.

Current Odds: The oddsmakers have installed the Nats as a -130 favorite over the Rays. The total is 7 in most books. The Rays come in with a 38-30 overall record and are 28-36 Under, while the Nats are 39-27 overall and are 31-31 Over/Under.  

Line Moves: The Nats opened as a -145 favorite and moved down to -130 at most books. The total started at 7 and remained there at most books.

ATS MLB FREE PICK, TRENDS & ANALYSIS: Go with Under 7 Tampa Bay/Washington.  Latest Trends:  Rays are 2-7 Under last 9 games as an underdog and is 6-14-1 Under last 21 road games. Washington is 2-6-1 Under last 9 Thursday games and 2-5-2 Under last 9 games following a win. Gio Gonzalez goes for the Nats and he’s been lights out for most of the season and coming off his worst start against the Yankees. Fortunately the Rays do not have the Yankees’ bats. Washington goes up against a strong young lefty in Matt Moore, who has been inconsistent most of the season, but in his last three games, he is 3-0 with a 2.37 ERA and has a 1.11 WHIP.  

ATS THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK:  UNDER Tampa Bay/Washington