posted on May 31, 2012 17:29
Astros vs. Rockies Free picks
MLB Astros vs. Rockies Picks for Thursday, May 31, 2012
This is the fourth game of a four-game series. The Rockies beat the Astros 13-5 on Wednesday to go 3-0 in the series. Bud Norris takes the mound for the Astros, while Jeremy Guthrie starts for the Rockies. The opening pitch starts at 8:40pmET from Denver, Colo.
Current Odds: The oddsmakers have installed the Rockies as a -120 favorite over the Astros. The total is 10 in most books. The Astros come in with a 22-28 overall record and are 28-21 Over, while the Rockies are 20-29 overall and 30-17 Over.
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Line Moves: The Rockies opened as a -110 favorite and moved up to -120 at most books. The total started at 10 and remained there in most books.
ATS MLB FREE PICK, TRENDS & ANALYSIS: OVER 10 Astros/Rockies. According to the latest MLB trends, Colorado is 7-0 Over the last 7 meetings at home in series, 12-2 Over last 14 meetings. Rockies are 4-0-1 Over last 5 games as a home favorite, 7-0-1 Over last 8 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game, 5-0 Over last 5 games following a win, 6-0 Over last 6 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30, 9-1-1 Over is 9-1-1 last 11 games vs. a right-handed starter, 13-2-2 Over last 17 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5, 20-7-1 Over is 20-7-1 last 28 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game, is 33-16-2 Over last 51 home games and is 18-7-1 Over last 26 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Houston has been getting clobbered this series and they throw one of their best pitchers in Norris out there to try and salvage one game. The Rockies are led by OF Carlos Gonzalez, who has 13 homers and 41 RBIs. Jeremy Guthrie has struggled for the Rockies, recording a 5.31 ERA and 1.55 WHIP. He’s been getting hit hard most of the season and the Astros should continue the barrage.
ATS THURSDAY MLB FREE PICK: OVER 10 Astros/Rockies