ATS Free Baseball Pick for 7-7-12

Brewers vs Astros Free Pick

MLB Milwaukee vs. Houston Picks & Predictions for Saturday, July 7, 2012

This is the second game of a three-game series. The Brewers won the opener 7-1 over the Astros on Friday night. Zach Greinke takes the mound for the Brewers against Wandy Rodriguez for the Astros. The second game starts on Saturday at 4:05pmET from Minute Maid Park from Houston.

Current Odds: The oddsmakers have installed the Brewers as a -150 favorite over the Astros. The total is 7.5 in most books. The Brewers come in with a 39-44 overall record and are 38-45 Under, while the Astros are 32-52 overall and 46-36 Under.

Line Moves: The Brewers opened as a -150 favorite and remained there in most books. The total started at 7.5 and remained there in most books.

ATS MLB FREE PICK, TRENDS & ANALYSIS: UNDER Milwaukee/Houston. Latest trends include: Brewers are 0-5 last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter, 1-6 Under last 7 games vs. a left-handed starter and is 2-6 Under last 8 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. Astros are 0-4 Under last 4 vs. a team with a losing record, 1-6 Under last 7 games as an underdog of +110 to +150, 5-15-1 Under last 21 home games vs. a right-handed starter, 1-5 Under in Rodriguez's last 6 starts vs. Brewers and 5-11-1 Under last 17 overall. Both of these pitchers could be gone before the trade deadline. Rodriguez has pitched well this year, recording a 3.54 ERA but hasn't had much support. The Astros are hitting just .241 this year and gave up on 1B Carlos Lee. Greinke is 2-0 in his last 3 starts with a 3.00 ERA and has a 3.08 ERA this year. Both pitchers are solid and could be pitching elsewhere in August.